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打卦俄羅斯
送交者: WeThe地球人[☆★声望品衔7★☆] 于 2025-01-19 6:42 已读 2778 次 4 赞  

WeThe地球人的个人频道

    普俄未來20年運程,幾年前已注定。俄羅斯淪爲世界之林二流國家,國民淪爲國際社會二等公民。這一切,全因有個牛二總統。冒天下之大不韙,悍然侵略烏克蘭。招來發達民主國家的嚴厲制裁,烏克蘭的英勇抵抗。深陷戰爭泥潭,國力虛耗,前景黯淡。

    牛二禍國殃民。心態野蠻,見識愚昧。夢想繼承彼得大帝、斯大林衣鉢,只管開疆拓土,哪管生靈塗炭。今時今世,還以爲是百年前弱肉强食,以爲武力改變疆界也不會有什麽了不得的後果。

    普京常提到的藉口,也是北平和特朗普附和的論調,是所謂 北約背信東擴 ,傷了俄羅斯自尊(以及安全感)。

    首先,所謂 背信 是斷章取義。 德國之聲 不久前有個北約專題紀錄片,說到這段往事:1989年柏林墻倒塌,隨后開始西德、東德統一談判。蘇聯代表談及 北約不東擴 ,以此作爲放生東德的條件。美國國務卿口頭表達贊同。但後來回去匯報,老布什說不行, 東擴與否只能由未來的東歐諸國決定。轉而提出由西德掏錢補償蘇聯,以此換取蘇聯同意東德與西德統一。最終正式書面協議以及實際履行都是按經濟補償這個方案操作,不再提北約擴不擴。

   其次,所謂 東擴 ,不應誤讀為美國或者北約單方擴張。這是東歐主權國家對俄熊心有餘悸的主動選擇。波羅的海三國,看到烏克蘭橫禍,能不慶幸早先加入北約?由此可見,所謂 北約東擴損害俄羅斯安全 ,完全是倒打一耙。鄰國加入北約,前有波羅的海三國,近來有芬蘭,將來有烏克蘭,都是預防熊咬,有誰要宰熊?不説別的,幾千核彈擺在那,誰會動它?

   最後,北約東擴無論如何都不違反國際法,違法的是侵略者。

   違法必究。普京把俄羅斯帶入困境

   五常地位以及核武庫,免致普京俄羅斯步當年侵略科威特的薩達姆伊拉克後塵。但死罪可免,活罪難饒。

    開戰三年,烏克蘭浴血奮戰,西方盟友軍援加碼,俄羅斯損兵折將,軍火捉襟見肘。戰場灰頭土臉,軍事威望重挫。戰前軍火出口第二把交椅,如今法國占據。

   西方制裁凌厲。踢出美元結算體系。千億資產凍結(孳息沒收,支援烏克蘭)。外資撤離,產品、技術對俄出口管制。限制油氣出口。導致俄羅斯收入下降,貨幣貶值,經濟降級淪爲吃飯經濟、炮灰經濟。科技進步、產業升級無望。原有軍工、航天技術積纍日漸坐吃山空,軍火出口地位大降,航天發射屢屢受挫。

    元首成國際法庭通緝犯,連金磚國家南非、印度都去不了。西方國家🈲通航禁簽證,成俄羅斯國民禁區。奧運、世界杯禁賽。 慘過伊朗。

    經濟、技術制裁方面,半斤八兩。俄伊近來密切交流對付制裁經驗。難兄難弟。

   解鈴還須係鈴人。普俄謝罪、撤軍、賠款,是走出困境的出路,換來 西方全面解除制裁,俄羅斯戰場脫身,重回文明社會,重啓科技進步、產業升級,重建和平與繁榮。

   但這無異於叫普京自打嘴巴。普俄 朕即國家 ,普京意志凌駕於國家利益,顯然不會同意。

   還有其他較爲折衷的俄烏和解方案,如 就地停火,俄佔領土通過外交談判解決,烏克蘭加入北約、歐盟,換取西方逐步解除制裁(與俄佔領土外交談判進程挂鈎)。普京也未必答應。這等於承認所謂北約威脅的出兵藉口純屬莫須有,還是自打嘴巴。
    此外,由於西方國家(即使不計美國)與俄羅斯實力懸賞,決定了普俄沒有本錢提出能保護普京嘴巴又能叫烏克蘭接受的方案。特朗普有心相助,也無能爲力。

   但保護普京的嘴巴顯然比俄羅斯的前途更重要,看來普俄走出困境也只能寄望于慶父自斃之後。 6park.com


Military expenditures


 https://www.cia.gov/the-world-factbook/countries/european-union/#people-and-society

European Union

1.9% of GDP (2024 est.) 6park.com

6park.com






United Kingdom

2.3% of GDP (2024 est.) 6park.com




3 Canada

1.4% of GDP (2024) 6park.com




4 Australia

2% of GDP (2023 est.) 6park.com




5 Japan

1.4% of GDP (2024 est.)
1.2% of GDP (2023)
1.1% of GDP (2022) 6park.com




6  Korea

2.7% of GDP (2023 est.) 6park.com




7 Taiwan

2.5% of GDP (2023 est.)
2.1% of GDP (2022) 6park.com


8 Russia


5% of GDP (2023 est.)
4% of GDP (2022 est.) 6park.com


6park.com

9 China  6park.com

1.5% of GDP (2023 est.) 6park.com


6park.com

10 United States of America 6park.com


6park.com

3.4% of GDP (2024 est.) 6park.com


6park.com


11 Ukraine 6park.com

4% of GDP (2021 est.) 6park.com

note: since Russia's invasion of the country in early 2022, defense spending has increased to more than 25% of GDP according to some estimates 6park.com


6park.com




 40 countries with the highest military spending worldwide in 2023[1]
SIPRI Military Expenditure Database

RankCountrySpending
(US$ bn)% of GDP% of global spending



Economy


European Union 6park.com



Real GDP (purchasing power parity)


$24.177 trillion (2023 est.) 6park.com

6park.com



GDP (official exchange rate)


$18.349 trillion (2023 est.) 6park.com







United Kingdom 6park.com

Real GDP (purchasing power parity)

6park.com

$3.7 trillion (2023 est.) 6park.com


comparison ranking: 10 6park.com


6park.com

GDP (official exchange rate)

6park.com

$3.34 trillion (2023 est.)


6park.com


6park.com



3 Canada 6park.com

Real GDP (purchasing power parity)

6park.com

$2.238 trillion (2023 est.) 6park.com


comparison ranking: 16 6park.com


6park.com

GDP (official exchange rate)

6park.com

$2.14 trillion (2023 est.)


6park.com


6park.com



4 Australia 6park.com

Real GDP (purchasing power parity)

6park.com

$1.584 trillion (2023 est.) 6park.com


comparison ranking: 20 6park.com


6park.com

GDP (official exchange rate)

6park.com

$1.724 trillion (2023 est.)


6park.com


6park.com



5 Japan 6park.com

6park.com

Real GDP (purchasing power parity)

6park.com

$5.761 trillion (2023 est.) 6park.com


comparison ranking: 5 6park.com


6park.com

GDP (official exchange rate)

6park.com

$4.213 trillion (2023 est.)


6park.com


6park.com



6  Korea 6park.com

Real GDP (purchasing power parity)

6park.com

$2.615 trillion (2023 est.) 6park.com


comparison ranking: 14 6park.com


6park.com

GDP (official exchange rate)

6park.com

$1.713 trillion (2023 est.) 6park.com


6park.com



7 Taiwan 6park.com

Real GDP (purchasing power parity)

6park.com

$1.143 trillion (2019 est.) 6park.com


comparison ranking: 30 6park.com


6park.com

GDP (official exchange rate)

6park.com

$611.391 billion (2019 est.) 6park.com


6park.com



8 Russia 6park.com

Real GDP (purchasing power parity)

6park.com

$5.816 trillion (2023 est.) 6park.com


comparison ranking: 4 6park.com


6park.com

GDP (official exchange rate)

6park.com

$2.021 trillion (2023 est.)


6park.com

6park.com



9 China  6park.com

Real GDP (purchasing power parity)

6park.com

$31.227 trillion (2023 est.) 6park.com


comparison ranking: 1 6park.com


6park.com

GDP (official exchange rate)

6park.com

$17.795 trillion (2023 est.) 6park.com


6park.com



10 United States of America 6park.com

Real GDP (purchasing power parity)

6park.com

$24.662 trillion (2023 est.) 6park.com


comparison ranking: 2 6park.com


6park.com

GDP (official exchange rate)

6park.com

$27.361 trillion (2023 est.)


6park.com

6park.com

11 Ukraine 6park.com

Real GDP (purchasing power parity)

6park.com

$559.981 billion (2023 est.)
$531.796 billion (2022 est.)
$746.471 billion (2021 est.) 6park.com


comparison ranking: 46 6park.com


6park.com

GDP (official exchange rate)

6park.com

$178.757 billion (2023 est.)


6park.com

Population

European Union





total: 451,815,312 6park.com






2 United Kingdom



total: 68,459,055 United Kingdom 6park.com


comparison rankings: female 22; male 21; total 21



3 Canada

total: 38,794,813 6park.com


comparison rankings: female 38; male 38; total 37



4 Australia

total: 26,768,598 6park.com


comparison rankings: female 55; male 54; total 54



5 Japan



total: 123,201,945 6park.com


comparison rankings: female 11; male 11; total 11



6 Korea

total: 52,081,799 6park.com


comparison rankings: female 28; male 28; total 28



7 Taiwan

total: 23,595,274 6park.com


comparison rankings: female 57; male 58; total 58



8 Russia

total: 140,820,810 6park.com


comparison rankings: female 9; male 9; total 9



9 China 

total: 1,416,043,270 6park.com


comparison rankings: female 1; male 2; total 1



10 United States of America

total: 341,963,408 6park.com


comparison rankings: female 3; male 3; total 3



11 Ukraine

total: 35,661,826 6park.com


comparison rankings: female 42; male 44; total 43

Area

1 European Union





total : 4,236,351 sq km 6park.com

rank by area (sq km):
1. France (includes five overseas regions) 643,801
2. Spain 505,370
3. Sweden 450,295
4. Germany 357,022
5. 



2 United Kingdom



total : 243,610 sq km 6park.com


comparison ranking: total 80



3 Canada



total : 9,984,670 sq km 6park.com


comparison ranking: total 3



4 Australia

total : 7,741,220 sq km 6park.com


comparison ranking: total 7



5 Japan



total : 377,915 sq km 6park.com


comparison ranking: total 63



6  Korea

total : 99,720 sq km 6park.com


comparison ranking: total 109



7 Taiwan

total : 35,980 sq km 6park.com


comparison ranking: total 138



8 Russia

total : 17,098,242 sq km 6park.com


comparison ranking: total 1



9 China 

total : 9,596,960 sq km 6park.com


comparison ranking: total 5



10 United States of America

total : 9,833,517 sq km 6park.com


comparison ranking: total 4



11 Ukraine

total : 603,550 sq km 6park.com

note: Russia annexed Crimea in 2014, an area of approximately 27,000 sq km (10,400 sq miles)

comparison ranking: total 48


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