
analysis
The Economic Ripple Effects of Syrian Refugees Returning From Lebanon
The mass repatriation of Syrians following the al Assad regime's collapse could pressure Lebanon's agriculture and construction sectors and increase demand on Syria's fragile public services.
Sep 08, 2026
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Analysis
Ukraine, Russia, U.S.: Trump-Putin Call Yields Rhetoric, as Envoy Trip Fails to Produce Breakthrough
Sep 08, 2026
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OSINT PREMIUM
Sep 08, 2026
After Pretoria Peace Deal, Old Enemies in Ethiopia’s Tigray Find New Ground
When Ethiopia’s federal government and the Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF) signed the Pretoria Agreement in November 2022, it was meant to end two years of devastating war.
Sep 08, 2026
Husband of Tanzania's President Dies While Undergoing Hospital Treatment
The husband of Tanzania’s President Samia Suluhu Hassan died Monday while undergoing treatment in a hospital in Zanzibar, the country’s vice president said. Hafidh Ameir Hassan became Tanzania’s first gentleman in 2021, when his wife took office as the country's first female president following the death of President John Magufuli.
Sep 08, 2026
Iran, US Trade Tanker Attacks as Six-Month Conflict Escalates
Iran said it hit three US-linked ships taking an unauthorized route through the Strait of Hormuz in retaliation for American attacks on Iranian tankers over the weekend.
Forecasts PREMIUM
Jun 29, 2026
2026 Third-Quarter Forecast
A fragile truce in the Middle East, persistent energy-driven inflation, shifting U.S. trade policy and escalating regional pressures from Europe to Africa will collectively shape geopolitical risk in the third quarter.
Mar 30, 2026
2026 Second-Quarter Forecast
The second quarter will test global resilience as lingering conflicts and energy shocks converge to heighten economic uncertainty and geopolitical volatility.
Jan 05, 2026
2026 Annual Forecast
As elections reshape political incentives worldwide, 2026 will see major powers recalibrate diplomacy and conflict, raising the risk of fragile deals, regional instability and sudden escalation.




